Long Melford
1 - 4
Downham Town

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Long Melford and Downham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Downham Town win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for Long Melford had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Downham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.24%) and 0-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Long Melford win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Downham Town would win this match.

Result
Long Melford	Draw	Downham Town
24.32% ( -0.16)	21.27% ( -0.01)	54.41% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 63.82% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.44% (

-0.1)

34.55% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.51% (

-0.11)

56.49% (

0.11)

Long Melford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

-0.17)

26.78% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.93% (

-0.23)

62.06% (

0.23)

Downham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.16% (

0.02)

12.84% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.8% (

0.04)

39.2% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Long Melford 24.32%

Downham Town 54.41%

Draw 21.27%

Long Melford	Draw	Downham Town
2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.53% 2-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.32%	1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.27%	1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 54.41%