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FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Saw Mills End

Longlevens
1 - 9
Binfield

 
FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Longlevens and Binfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Binfield win with a probability of 56.42%. A win for Longlevens had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Binfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.89%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Longlevens win was 2-1 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-9 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Binfield would win this match.

Result
LonglevensDrawBinfield
23.71%19.86%56.42%
Both teams to score 68.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.75%28.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.95%49.05%
Longlevens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16%57.84%
Binfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.75%10.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.41%33.59%
Score Analysis
    Longlevens 23.71%
    Binfield 56.42%
    Draw 19.86%
LonglevensDrawBinfield
2-1 @ 5.73%
1-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 3.13%
3-1 @ 2.75%
2-0 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 1.13%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 23.71%
1-1 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 2.43%
3-3 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 19.86%
1-2 @ 9.07%
1-3 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 6.31%
0-1 @ 5.54%
2-3 @ 4.96%
0-3 @ 4.79%
1-4 @ 3.93%
2-4 @ 2.83%
0-4 @ 2.73%
1-5 @ 1.79%
3-4 @ 1.36%
2-5 @ 1.29%
0-5 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 56.42%


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