Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Longridge Town win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for 1874 Northwich had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Longridge Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.06%) and 3-1 (5.03%). The likeliest 1874 Northwich win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.