FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Moatside Stadium
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Merstham and Wick.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merstham win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Wick had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Merstham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Wick win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Merstham would win this match.
| Result |
| Merstham | Draw | Wick |
52.75% ( 0.61) | 22.18% ( -0.28) | 25.06% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 61.34% ( 0.66) |
| 61.82% ( 1.02) | 38.17% ( -1.02) |
| 39.55% ( 1.08) | 60.45% ( -1.08) |
| 85.4% ( 0.56) | 14.59% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.32% ( 1.07) | 42.68% ( -1.08) |
| 71.82% ( 0.29) | 28.18% ( -0.3) |
