Newcastle Blue Star
1 - 1
North Ferriby

Data Analysis

Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Newcastle Blue Star and North Ferriby United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Blue Star

Last Game: North Shields 1-2 Newcastle Blue Star
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup

North Ferriby United

Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-0 North Ferriby
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Ferriby United win with a probability of 55.22%. A win for Newcastle Blue Star had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Ferriby United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 0-1 (7.04%). The likeliest Newcastle Blue Star win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Blue Star	Draw	North Ferriby United
23.71%	21.07%	55.22%

Both teams to score 63.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.76%

34.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.87%

56.13%

Newcastle Blue Star Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93%

27.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.55%

62.44%

North Ferriby United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5%

12.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.51%

38.48%

Score Analysis

Newcastle Blue Star 23.71%

North Ferriby United 55.22%

Draw 21.07%

Newcastle Blue Star	Draw	North Ferriby United
2-1 @ 6.01% 1-0 @ 4.42% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.8% Total : 23.71%	1-1 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 3.38% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.07%	1-2 @ 9.56% 0-2 @ 7.32% 0-1 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 6.63% 0-3 @ 5.07% 2-3 @ 4.33% 1-4 @ 3.45% 0-4 @ 2.64% 2-4 @ 2.25% 1-5 @ 1.43% 0-5 @ 1.1% 3-4 @ 0.98% 2-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.5% Total : 55.22%