SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bashley win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Paulton Rovers had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bashley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Paulton Rovers win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paulton Rovers | Draw | Bashley |
30.9% ( 0.69) | 22.76% ( 0.05) | 46.34% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 64.13% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.43% ( 0.14) | 36.57% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.27% ( 0.15) | 58.72% ( -0.16) |
| Paulton Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( 0.49) | 23.43% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.57% ( 0.7) | 57.43% ( -0.7) |
| Bashley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( -0.22) | 16.24% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.24% ( -0.4) | 45.76% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paulton Rovers | Draw | Bashley |
| 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.9% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.34% |
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