Plymouth P
4 - 1
Baffins Milton Rovers

Wright (24', 61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Plymouth Parkway and Baffins Milton Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Parkway

Last Game: Plymouth P 0-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Baffins Milton Rovers

Last Game: Baffins Milton Rovers 2-1 Shepton Mallet
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Parkway win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Baffins Milton Rovers had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Parkway win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.25%). The likeliest Baffins Milton Rovers win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Parkway would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Parkway	Draw	Baffins Milton Rovers
41.13% ( -0)	22.73%	36.14% ( 0)

Both teams to score 66.22% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.36% (

-0)

34.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.41% (

-0)

56.59% (

Plymouth Parkway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.49% (

-0)

17.5% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.99% (

-0)

48.01% (

Baffins Milton Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.27% (

19.73% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.25% (

51.75% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Parkway 41.13%

Baffins Milton Rovers 36.14%

Draw 22.73%

Plymouth Parkway	Draw	Baffins Milton Rovers
2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-2 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.18% Total : 41.13%	1-1 @ 9.77% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 3.45% 3-3 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.31% Total : 36.14%