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FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Butlin Road

Rugby Town
3 - 0
Stone Old Alleynians

 
FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Rugby Town and Stone Old Alleynians.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rugby Town win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Stone Old Alleynians had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rugby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Stone Old Alleynians win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rugby Town would win this match.

Result
Rugby TownDrawStone Old Alleynians
39.83%23.54%36.63%
Both teams to score 63.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.33%38.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.03%60.96%
Rugby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23%19.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19%51.81%
Stone Old Alleynians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7%21.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76%54.23%
Score Analysis
    Rugby Town 39.83%
    Stone Old Alleynians 36.63%
    Draw 23.54%
Rugby TownDrawStone Old Alleynians
2-1 @ 8.56%
1-0 @ 6.82%
2-0 @ 5.53%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-2 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 39.83%
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 6.62%
0-0 @ 4.21%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-1 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 3.41%
0-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.63%


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