Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shepton Mallet win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Horndean had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shepton Mallet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.97%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Horndean win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shepton Mallet would win this match.
Result | ||
Shepton Mallet | Draw | Horndean |
48.62% ( -0.22) | 21.59% ( 0.08) | 29.79% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 67.85% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.58% ( -0.3) | 31.42% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.11% ( -0.35) | 52.88% ( 0.35) |
Shepton Mallet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.47% ( -0.18) | 13.53% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.41% ( -0.36) | 40.58% ( 0.35) |
Horndean Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.46% ( -0.07) | 21.53% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.4% ( -0.11) | 54.59% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Shepton Mallet | Draw | Horndean |
2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.62% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.79% |
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