FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Playing Fields
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Shepton Mallet and Horndean.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shepton Mallet win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Horndean had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shepton Mallet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.97%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Horndean win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shepton Mallet would win this match.
| Result |
| Shepton Mallet | Draw | Horndean |
48.62% ( -0.22) | 21.59% ( 0.08) | 29.79% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 67.85% ( -0.2) |
| 68.58% ( -0.3) | 31.42% ( 0.3) |
| 47.11% ( -0.35) | 52.88% ( 0.35) |
| 86.47% ( -0.18) | 13.53% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.41% ( -0.36) | 40.58% ( 0.35) |
| 78.46% ( -0.07) | 21.53% ( 0.07) |
