FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Westwood Road
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between St Ives Town and Harpenden Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Ives Town win with a probability of 72.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Harpenden Town had a probability of 12.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Ives Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.25%), while for a Harpenden Town win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Ives Town would win this match.
| Result |
| St Ives Town | Draw | Harpenden Town |
| 72.06% | 15.25% | 12.68% |
| Both teams to score 63.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
St Ives Town 72.06%
Harpenden Town 12.69%
Draw 15.25%
| St Ives Town | Draw | Harpenden Town |
2-1 @ 8.72%
3-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 7.75%
3-0 @ 7.21%
4-1 @ 5.67%
1-0 @ 5.55%
4-0 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 4.57%
4-2 @ 3.19%
5-1 @ 3.17%
5-0 @ 2.81%
5-2 @ 1.78%
6-1 @ 1.47%
6-0 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 72.06%
| 1-1 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 4.91%
0-0 @ 1.99%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 15.25%
| 1-2 @ 3.52%
0-1 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-3 @ 1.32%
0-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 12.69%
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