Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Ives Town win with a probability of 72.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Harpenden Town had a probability of 12.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Ives Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.25%), while for a Harpenden Town win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Ives Town would win this match.
