FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Pavilion
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Newport Pagnell Town and AFC Dunstable.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Dunstable win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Newport Pagnell Town had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Dunstable win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.92%) and 2-3 (5%). The likeliest Newport Pagnell Town win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Dunstable would win this match.
| Result |
| Newport Pagnell Town | Draw | AFC Dunstable |
31.28% ( 8.44) | 20.88% ( 1.36) | 47.84% ( -9.81) |
| Both teams to score 71.61% ( 2.99) |
| 73.05% ( 0.64) | 26.95% ( -0.64) |
| 52.58% ( 0.81) | 47.42% ( -0.81) |
| Newport Pagnell Town Goals |
| 81.5% ( 5.47) | 18.5% ( -5.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.28% ( 8.5) | 49.72% ( -8.49) |
| 87.86% ( -2.39) | 12.13% ( 2.39) |
