Tilbury
4 - 1
Buckhurst Hill

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Tilbury and Buckhurst Hill.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tilbury win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Buckhurst Hill had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tilbury win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 3-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Buckhurst Hill win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tilbury would win this match.

Result
Tilbury	Draw	Buckhurst Hill
64.36% ( -0.24)	18.35% ( 0.09)	17.29% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 63.14% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.55% (

-0.13)

30.45% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.27% (

-0.15)

51.73% (

0.15)

Tilbury Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.98% (

-0.09)

9.02% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.29% (

-0.21)

30.71% (

0.22)

Buckhurst Hill Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

0.08)

30.6% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16% (

0.1)

66.84% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Tilbury 64.36%

Buckhurst Hill 17.29%

Draw 18.35%

Tilbury	Draw	Buckhurst Hill
2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 4.26% Total : 64.36%	1-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.35%	1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 17.29%