Whickham
1 - 0
Carlisle City

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Whickham and Carlisle City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Whickham win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Carlisle City had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Whickham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.98%) and 3-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Carlisle City win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Whickham would win this match.

Result
Whickham	Draw	Carlisle City
48.4% ( -1.35)	20.47% ( -0.13)	31.12% ( 1.47)

Both teams to score 73.12% (

1.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.01% (

1.54)

24.99% (

-1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.09% (

1.98)

44.9% (

-1.99)

Whickham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.74% (

0.17)

11.26% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.15% (

0.38)

35.85% (

-0.38)

Carlisle City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.39% (

1.52)

17.6% (

-1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.82% (

2.58)

48.18% (

-2.59)

Score Analysis

Whickham 48.4%

Carlisle City 31.12%

Draw 20.47%

Whickham	Draw	Carlisle City
2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.42) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.14) 4-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.24% Total : 48.4%	1-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.47%	1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.16) 3-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.78% Total : 31.12%