FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Stan Robinson Stadium
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Willand Rovers and St Austell.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willand Rovers win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for St Austell had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willand Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest St Austell win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willand Rovers would win this match.
| Result |
| Willand Rovers | Draw | St Austell |
52.93% ( 0.19) | 20.53% ( -0.01) | 26.54% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 69.17% ( -0.14) |
| 71.36% ( -0.11) | 28.64% ( 0.1) |
| 50.47% ( -0.13) | 49.53% ( 0.13) |
| 88.72% ( 0.02) | 11.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.1% ( 0.04) | 35.9% ( -0.04) |
| 77.96% ( -0.17) | 22.04% ( 0.17) |
