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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stourport Swifts win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Worcester Raiders had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stourport Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.66%) and 0-1 (5.28%). The likeliest Worcester Raiders win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Worcester Raiders | Draw | Stourport Swifts |
32.54% ( 0.17) | 21.57% ( 0.08) | 45.89% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 69.56% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.15% ( -0.33) | 29.85% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.99% ( -0.4) | 51.01% ( 0.4) |
| Worcester Raiders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( -0.07) | 19.28% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.99% ( -0.12) | 51.01% ( 0.12) |
| Stourport Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.17% ( -0.2) | 13.83% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.8% ( -0.41) | 41.2% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worcester Raiders | Draw | Stourport Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 32.54% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.57% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.89% |
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