Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Cumberland United had a probability of 7.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.56%), while for a Cumberland United win it was 1-2 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
0.48) 
-0.23) 
