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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Western United had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.04%) and 0-1 (4.94%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
37.2% ( -0.85) | 21.81% ( 0.2) | 40.99% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 70.05% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.26% ( -1.16) | 29.74% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.12% ( -1.41) | 50.88% ( 1.41) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( -0.86) | 17.06% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.76% ( -1.55) | 47.23% ( 1.55) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( -0.24) | 15.54% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.53% ( -0.44) | 44.46% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.13)4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.3% Total : 37.2% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.07)0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)Other @ 4% Total : 40.99% |
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