Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ashton United had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an Ashton United win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.27) 
