SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Institute had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Institute win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Institute |
47.12% ( -0.14) | 24.24% ( 0.01) | 28.65% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.38% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.16% ( 0.06) | 44.85% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% ( 0.06) | 67.2% ( -0.06) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( -0.03) | 19.16% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.19% ( -0.06) | 50.81% ( 0.06) |
| Institute Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( 0.13) | 29.03% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.06% ( 0.16) | 64.94% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Institute |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.2% Total : 47.12% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 28.65% |
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