SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Institute had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Institute win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Institute |
57.24% ( 0.49) | 22.94% ( -0.06) | 19.82% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% ( -0.29) | 47.72% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( -0.27) | 69.91% ( 0.27) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.58% ( 0.07) | 16.42% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.91% ( 0.13) | 46.09% ( -0.12) |
| Institute Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% ( -0.61) | 38.24% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.01% ( -0.59) | 75% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Institute |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 57.23% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.94% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.51% Total : 19.82% |
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