Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 84.35%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for FK Vardar had a probability of 4.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.29%) and 4-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a FK Vardar win it was 0-1 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.