Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
-1.89) 
0.6) 
