Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
37.14% ( -1.89)	27.17% ( 0.6)	35.68% ( 1.29)

Both teams to score 50.34% (

-1.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.92% (

-2.32)

55.08% (

2.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.66% (

-1.95)

76.34% (

1.95)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.39% (

-2.18)

28.61% (

2.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.59% (

-2.82)

64.41% (

2.82)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51% (

-0.33)

29.49% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.5% (

-0.41)

65.5% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 37.13%

Dinamo Zagreb 35.68%

Draw 27.17%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.37) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.13%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.81) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.68%