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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Cambridge United |
44.07% ( -3) | 25.84% ( 0.27) | 30.08% ( 2.73) |
| Both teams to score 52.97% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.99% ( 0.33) | 51% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% ( 0.29) | 72.87% ( -0.29) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% ( -1.24) | 23.05% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.12% ( -1.86) | 56.88% ( 1.86) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% ( 2.21) | 31.16% ( -2.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.51% ( 2.5) | 67.49% ( -2.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.71)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.5)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.5)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.3)Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.08% |
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