Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 86.21%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for RKVV EVV had a probability of 5.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.67%) and 0-4 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.38%), while for a RKVV EVV win it was 2-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
