While Heracles are likely to survive the drop this season, they would love nothing more than to take something from this match to maintain their 14th-placed standing or even overtake Almere City into 13th. However, their form of late is far from inspiring, and we feel they will have to rely on results elsewhere to help them stay out of the bottom three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.04) 
