Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 68.44%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Kirkcaldy & Dysart had a probability of 13.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Kirkcaldy & Dysart win it was 1-0 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.