SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Airdrieonians in this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
41.09% ( 0.08) | 27.31% ( 0.4) | 31.6% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% ( -1.66) | 56.26% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.69% ( -1.36) | 77.3% ( 1.36) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( -0.73) | 26.93% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.74% ( -0.97) | 62.26% ( 0.97) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( -1.19) | 32.79% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.65% ( -1.35) | 69.35% ( 1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.6% |
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