Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest LNZ Cherkasy win was 0-1 (11.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Obolon Kyiv would win this match.
