Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.13%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a LNZ Cherkasy win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
Result | ||
LNZ Cherkasy | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
15.37% ( -0.01) | 21.84% ( 0.03) | 62.78% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.5% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.88% ( -0.12) | 50.12% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.91% ( -0.11) | 72.08% ( 0.11) |
LNZ Cherkasy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.96% ( -0.09) | 45.03% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.04% ( -0.07) | 80.96% ( 0.07) |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% ( -0.04) | 15.39% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.81% ( -0.09) | 44.19% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
LNZ Cherkasy | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
1-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.21% 3-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 15.37% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 12.13% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 62.77% |
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