SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
59.39% ( 0.03) | 20.54% ( -0.01) | 20.07% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.26% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.5% ( 0.02) | 36.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.36% ( 0.02) | 58.64% ( -0.03) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.96% ( 0.01) | 12.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.48% ( 0.03) | 37.52% ( -0.03) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( -0.01) | 31.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.12% ( -0.01) | 67.88% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 6% ( 0)3-2 @ 4% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 4.27% Total : 59.39% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.54% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 20.07% |
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