SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Sturm Graz |
54.26% ( -0.08) | 23.03% ( 0.02) | 22.71% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.53% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.43% ( -0.01) | 44.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.07% ( -0.01) | 66.93% ( 0.01) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( -0.03) | 16.34% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.06% ( -0.05) | 45.94% ( 0.06) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% ( 0.05) | 33.62% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( 0.06) | 70.27% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.26% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 22.71% |
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