Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for SC Verl had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.79%) and 0-1 (6.75%). The likeliest SC Verl win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.