Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.