Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 59.84%. A win for Spalding United had a probability of 20.83% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.22%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Spalding United win was 2-1 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
1.11) 
-1.89) 
