Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 58.09%. A win for Stamford had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.67%) and 0-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Stamford win was 2-1 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.