Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Unia Skierniewice win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Polonia Warszawa had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Unia Skierniewice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Polonia Warszawa win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Unia Skierniewice in this match.
