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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
Exploria Stadium
JN

Guadeloupe
1 - 2
Jamaica

Bell (4' og.)
Casimir (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burke (14'), Flemmings (88')
Bailey (62'), Powell (64'), Moore (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Guadeloupe win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.

Result
GuadeloupeDrawJamaica
35.62%25.67%38.71%
Both teams to score 55.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24%48.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.14%70.86%
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52%26.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33%61.67%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24%24.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68%59.32%
Score Analysis
    Guadeloupe 35.62%
    Jamaica 38.71%
    Draw 25.66%
GuadeloupeDrawJamaica
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 5.79%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.62%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-2 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 38.71%

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