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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 12, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
Independence Park
SN

Jamaica
2 - 0
Suriname

Nicholson (6'), Reid (26')
Bell (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Klaiber (25'), Donk (37'), Leerdam (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Suriname had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest Suriname win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.

Result
JamaicaDrawSuriname
41.43%22.75%35.82%
Both teams to score 66.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21%34.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.24%56.76%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55%17.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.09%47.91%
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05%19.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.89%52.11%
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 41.43%
    Suriname 35.82%
    Draw 22.75%
JamaicaDrawSuriname
2-1 @ 8.55%
1-0 @ 6.08%
2-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-2 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 6.89%
0-0 @ 3.48%
3-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-1 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 4.24%
2-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.82%

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