Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Honduras win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
Result | ||
Honduras | Draw | Qatar |
34.76% | 24.01% | 41.22% |
Both teams to score 61.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.75% | 41.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.35% | 63.65% |
Honduras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% | 23.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.53% | 57.47% |
Qatar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.77% | 20.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.44% | 52.56% |
Score Analysis |
Honduras | Draw | Qatar |
2-1 @ 7.97% 1-0 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.76% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-1 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.98% Total : 41.22% |
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