Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 43.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 27.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Grenada win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.
