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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | First Round
Jun 9, 2021 at 2.05am UK
BMO Field
SN

Canada
4 - 0
Suriname

Davies (37'), David (59', 73', 77' pen.)
Davies (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Haps (20'), Becker (88')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Canada and Suriname.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Suriname had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Suriname win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
CanadaDrawSuriname
49.81%22.27%27.92%
Both teams to score 63.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88%36.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.77%58.22%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16%14.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.85%43.15%
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25%59.75%
Score Analysis
    Canada 49.81%
    Suriname 27.92%
    Draw 22.27%
CanadaDrawSuriname
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 7.1%
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 5.96%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 4.12%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.97%
5-1 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 49.81%
1-1 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 3.72%
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-1 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 3.56%
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 1.64%
1-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.92%

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