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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jul 25, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Khalifa International Stadium
ES

Qatar
3 - 2
El Salvador

Ali (2', 55' pen.), Ali Abdullatif (8')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rivas (63', 66')
Perez (45'), Ceren (54'), Rivas (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
QatarDrawEl Salvador
51.77%23.8%24.43%
Both teams to score 55.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84%46.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54%68.45%
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17%17.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.42%48.57%
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01%32.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43%69.57%
Score Analysis
    Qatar 51.76%
    El Salvador 24.43%
    Draw 23.79%
QatarDrawEl Salvador
1-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-0 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 51.76%
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 5.88%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 6.52%
1-2 @ 6.24%
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.43%

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