Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEL Larissa win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEL Larissa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (12.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.