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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2020 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Georgios Kamaras

Apollon Smirnis
1 - 0
Larissa

Andoni (90+1' pen.)
Andoni (5'), Segovia (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Secerovic (41'), Filip (66'), Maidanos (90+1'), Durmishaj (90+4')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Apollon Smirnis and AEL Larissa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smirnis win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smirnis win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for an AEL Larissa win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Apollon Smirnis in this match.

Result
Apollon SmirnisDrawAEL Larissa
52.89%27.07%20.04%
Both teams to score 40.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.62%62.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.99%82.01%
Apollon Smirnis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09%23.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88%58.12%
AEL Larissa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.47%46.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.87%82.13%
Score Analysis
    Apollon Smirnis 52.88%
    AEL Larissa 20.04%
    Draw 27.06%
Apollon SmirnisDrawAEL Larissa
1-0 @ 15.91%
2-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 4.16%
4-0 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.59%
4-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 52.88%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 8.51%
1-2 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 20.04%


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