Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.