Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Ionikos had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Ionikos win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.