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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 8
May 9, 2021 at 1pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
A

PAOK
2 - 0
Aris

Schwab (69' pen.), Zivkovic (90+1')
Michailidis (14'), Schwab (52'), Krmencik (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Benalouane (14'), Gama (54'), Bertoglio (84')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between PAOK and Aris Thessaloniki.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawAris Thessaloniki
53.75%25.47%20.79%
Both teams to score 45.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.65%56.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.63%77.37%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79%21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22%53.77%
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.83%42.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.41%78.58%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 53.74%
    Aris Thessaloniki 20.79%
    Draw 25.46%
PAOKDrawAris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 13.82%
2-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 4.84%
4-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 53.74%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 8.86%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.65%
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.16%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 20.79%

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