Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 42.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 27.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an AEL Larissa win it was 0-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panetolikos would win this match.