SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MTK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MTK | Draw | Diosgyor |
40.66% ( -0.87) | 25.2% ( 0.1) | 34.14% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.09% ( -0.27) | 46.91% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.84% ( -0.25) | 69.16% ( 0.25) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( -0.55) | 22.93% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.3% ( -0.81) | 56.7% ( 0.8) |
| Diosgyor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( 0.33) | 26.48% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.34% ( 0.44) | 61.66% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| MTK | Draw | Diosgyor |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.66% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.21% Total : 34.14% |
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