SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MTK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Debrecen | Draw | MTK |
34.66% ( -0.34) | 25.55% ( 0.04) | 39.78% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.57% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.63% ( -0.24) | 48.36% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.22) | 70.5% ( 0.22) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( -0.32) | 26.86% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.83% ( -0.42) | 62.17% ( 0.41) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( 0.04) | 24.02% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.72% ( 0.06) | 58.28% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Debrecen | Draw | MTK |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.67% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.78% |
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